TURFSPLIT
NFL / Props / Caleb Williams
Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams Player Props

QB · Chicago Bears · #11 overall in our rankings · full fantasy profile →

Reference lines are computed by TurfSplit from Williams's 17-game log — the half-point line closest to a 50/50 over rate, the same way books open a market. They are research numbers, not live sportsbook odds, and every percentage below is a historical over rate — how often the line was beaten last season, not a forecast of probability. Not betting advice.

Passing Yards■ OVER · ■ UNDER
212.5Reference line
9/17Historical over rate · 53%
3/5Overs, last 5
154–330Range · avg 231.9
3801900LINE 212.5298W3212W4252W6172W7285W8280W9220W10193W11239W12154W13186W14242W15250W16330W17212W18
Alt lines · historical over rate172.588%192.582%232.547%252.524%
Passing TDs■ OVER · ■ UNDER
1.5Reference line
9/17Historical over rate · 53%
5/5Overs, last 5
0–4Range · avg 1.6
52.50LINE 1.54W31W41W60W70W83W91W100W113W121W132W142W152W162W172W18
Alt lines · historical over rate0.582%2.518%3.56%
Interceptions■ OVER · ■ UNDER
0.5Reference line
7/17Historical over rate · 41%
2/5Overs, last 5
0–1Range · avg 0.4
52.50LINE 0.50W31W40W61W71W80W90W100W110W121W131W140W150W160W171W18
Alt lines · historical over rate1.50%2.50%
Rushing Yards■ OVER · ■ UNDER
15.5Reference line
9/17Historical over rate · 53%
2/5Overs, last 5
-2–63Range · avg 22.8
80400LINE 15.512W313W43W6-2W724W853W963W1026W1121W1213W1315W1413W1530W1618W171W18
Alt lines · historical over rate5.582%25.535%35.518%

Negative single-game totals are real, not a data error — kneel-downs count as negative rushing yards in the official box score.