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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid

RANK #1452025 RESULTS · FULL-PPRTE19TE · Buffalo BillsAge 266' 3"2025 seasonPROP GUIDE →
12
Games
49
Targets
39
Receptions
571
Rec yards
5
Rec TD
126
FPTS (PPR)
10.5
FPTS / game
TIER 6 · #145 OVERALLDepth piece — #19 among tight ends

Dalton Kincaid is ranked #19 among 115 eligible NFL tight ends. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 3.7 points per game below his average, and the workload confirms it: 3.2 touches/game over that stretch vs 4.1 on the season — a real role change worth monitoring.

Percentile84%
2025 season results · Computed from official box scores · Full-PPR scoring, ranked by last-season total points · updated July 27
VALUE PICK

Dalton Kincaid 2026 fantasy outlook

10.5Proj FPTS · ~137 / 13 games
6.416.8Typical game · middle 50%
#1071QB draft rank
#128Superflex rank
#120 · TE19Scoring rank · position
136.3ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #107 overall and TE19 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts versus an ADP of 136.3 — the market drafts him 57 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (3.2 touches/gm late vs 4.1 season), a late-season decline in per-touch efficiency.

INJURY RISK Medium?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025 game log

BUF 2026 schedule — bye week 7

17 GAMES · SEASON STARTS SEPT
W1
@HOU
W2
DET
W3
LAC
W4
NE
W5
@LAR
W6
@LV
W7
BYE
W8
BAL
W9
@MIN
W10
@NYJ
W11
MIA
W12
KC
W13
@NE
W14
@GB
W15
CHI
W16
@DEN
W17
@MIA
W18
NYJ
Plan around the week-7 bye when pairing Kincaid with other TEs on your roster.

Dalton Kincaid consistency and floor

12 GAMES
3.3
Floor (p10)
10.5
Average
17.6
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered50%
Boom rate125%+ of average42%
Bust rateunder half of average17%
10.5
Season avg FPTS
10.4
Last 10 FPTS
6.8
Last 5 FPTS

Kincaid vs other tight ends

PERCENTILE · 115 RANKED
Targets4977
Receptions3977
Rec yards57187
Rec TD590
Fantasy PPG10.590
Percentile among all ranked NFL tight ends · 99 = best

Kincaid fantasy points, last 12 games

2025 · BOOM · BUST
30150AVG 10.514.8W17.7W217.6W39.8W416.8W53.3W822.1W95.7W1014.1W146.4W150W167.8W18
SEASON HIGH 22.1SEASON LOW 0LAST 5 AVG 6.8

Dalton Kincaid game log — 2025

BOOM · BUST
WKOPPRESULTTGTRECREC YDSREC TDRUSH YDSRUSH TDFPTS
18NYJW 35-833480007.8
16@CLEW 23-201000000
15@NEW 35-3143340006.4
14CINW 39-34544110014.1
10@MIAL 30-1332370005.7
9KCW 28-216610110022.1
8@CARW 40-931230003.3
5NEL 23-206610800016.8
4NOW 31-1921281009.8
3MIAW 31-21656610017.6
2@NYJW 30-1064370007.7
1BALW 41-40444810014.8
QIs Dalton Kincaid a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #145 overall, #19 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Dalton Kincaid be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 136.3 (roughly round 12 in a 12-team league). We rank him #107 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Dalton Kincaid score in 2026?

We project 10.5 PPR points per game across an expected 13 games — approximately 137 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 6.4 and 16.8 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #120 in projected scoring (#107 on the 1QB draft board once positional value is applied).

QHow consistent is Dalton Kincaid for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 50% of games, with a floor of 3.3 and a ceiling of 17.6 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 42% of games and busted (under half his average) in 17%.

Answers computed by TurfSplit from official box scores.