Ja'Marr Chase is ranked #4 among 197 eligible NFL wide receivers. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up.
Percentile98%
2025 season results · Computed from official box scores · Full-PPR scoring, ranked by last-season total points · updated July 27
AVOID AT COST
Ja'Marr Chase 2026 fantasy outlook
19.8Proj FPTS · ~317 / 16 games
10.2–25.1Typical game · middle 50%
#71QB draft rank
#11Superflex rank
#13 · WR4Scoring rank · position
4.6ADP (ESPN drafts)
The market drafts him around #4; we rank him #7 overall and WR4 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts. Let someone else pay the premium. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (11 touches/gm late vs 11.8 season), late-season gains in per-touch efficiency.
INJURY RISK Low?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Contested?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025 game log
CIN 2026 schedule — bye week 6
17 GAMES · SEASON STARTS SEPT
W1
TB
W2
@HOU
W3
@PIT
W4
JAX
W5
@MIA
W6
BYE
W7
@BAL
W8
TEN
W9
@ATL
W10
PIT
W11
@WSH
W12
NO
W13
@CLE
W14
KC
W15
@CAR
W16
@IND
W17
BAL
W18
CLE
Plan around the week-6 bye when pairing Chase with other WRs on your roster.
Ja'Marr Chase consistency and floor
16 GAMES
6
Floor (p10)
19.6
Average
36.5
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered69%
Boom rate125%+ of average31%
Bust rateunder half of average25%
19.6
Season avg FPTS
20.2
Last 10 FPTS
20.4
Last 5 FPTS
Chase vs other wide receivers
PERCENTILE · 197 RANKED
Targets18599
Receptions12599
Rec yards1,41298
Rec TD896
Fantasy PPG19.699
Percentile among all ranked NFL wide receivers · 99 = best
He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #17 overall, #4 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.
QWhat round should Ja'Marr Chase be drafted in?
His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 4.6 (roughly round 1 in a 12-team league). We rank him #7 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts, so he is priced above our projection.
QHow many fantasy points will Ja'Marr Chase score in 2026?
We project 19.8 PPR points per game across an expected 16 games — approximately 317 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 10.2 and 25.1 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #13 in projected scoring (#7 on the 1QB draft board once positional value is applied).
QHow consistent is Ja'Marr Chase for fantasy?
He delivered at least 75% of his average in 69% of games, with a floor of 6 and a ceiling of 36.5 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 31% of games and busted (under half his average) in 25%.
Answers computed by TurfSplit from official box scores.
