
Luther Burden III Player Props
WR · Chicago Bears · #142 overall in our rankings · full fantasy profile →
Reference lines are computed by TurfSplit from Burden's 15-game log — the half-point line closest to a 50/50 over rate, the same way books open a market. They are research numbers, not live sportsbook odds, and every percentage below is a historical over rate — how often the line was beaten last season, not a forecast of probability. Not betting advice.
Receptions■ OVER · ■ UNDER
2.5Reference line
10/15Historical over rate · 67%
5/5Overs, last 5
1–8Range · avg 3.1
Alt lines · historical over rate0.5100%1.573%3.533%4.513%
Receiving Yards■ OVER · ■ UNDER
33.5Reference line
8/15Historical over rate · 53%
4/5Overs, last 5
-4–138Range · avg 43.5
Alt lines · historical over rate13.573%23.567%43.547%53.527%
Negative single-game totals are real, not a data error — kneel-downs count as negative rushing yards in the official box score.
Targets■ OVER · ■ UNDER
3.5Reference line
8/15Historical over rate · 53%
5/5Overs, last 5
1–9Range · avg 4
Alt lines · historical over rate1.587%5.527%7.57%