
Patrick Mahomes Player Props
QB · Kansas City Chiefs · #19 overall in our rankings · full fantasy profile →
Reference lines are computed by TurfSplit from Mahomes's 14-game log — the half-point line closest to a 50/50 over rate, the same way books open a market. They are research numbers, not live sportsbook odds, and every percentage below is a historical over rate — how often the line was beaten last season, not a forecast of probability. Not betting advice.
Passing Yards■ OVER · ■ UNDER
258.5Reference line
7/14Historical over rate · 50%
3/5Overs, last 5
160–352Range · avg 256.2
Alt lines · historical over rate218.579%238.571%278.529%298.521%
Passing TDs■ OVER · ■ UNDER
1.5Reference line
5/14Historical over rate · 36%
1/5Overs, last 5
0–4Range · avg 1.6
Alt lines · historical over rate0.571%2.536%3.514%
Interceptions■ OVER · ■ UNDER
0.5Reference line
8/14Historical over rate · 57%
4/5Overs, last 5
0–3Range · avg 0.8
Alt lines · historical over rate1.514%2.57%
Rushing Yards■ OVER · ■ UNDER
28.5Reference line
8/14Historical over rate · 57%
3/5Overs, last 5
2–66Range · avg 30.1
Alt lines · historical over rate8.571%18.564%38.529%48.529%