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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa

RANK #1032025 RESULTS · FULL-PPRQB26QB · Atlanta FalconsAge 286' 1"2025 seasonPROP GUIDE →
14
Games
2,660
Pass yards
20
Pass TD
15
INT
43
Rush yards
161
FPTS (PPR)
11.5
FPTS / game
TIER 6 · #103 OVERALLDepth piece — #26 among quarterbacks

Tua Tagovailoa is ranked #26 among 54 eligible NFL quarterbacks. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 2.0 points per game below his average, and the workload confirms it: 177 total yards/game over that stretch vs 193.1 on the season — a real role change worth monitoring.

Percentile54%
2025 season results · Computed from official box scores · Full-PPR scoring, ranked by last-season total points · updated July 27
VALUE PICK

Tua Tagovailoa 2026 fantasy outlook

11.2Proj FPTS · ~168 / 15 games
6.616.2Typical game · middle 50%
#2551QB draft rank
#99Superflex rank
#108 · QB26Scoring rank · position
170.7ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #255 overall and QB26 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts versus an ADP of 170.7 — the market drafts him 168 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (177 total yards/gm late vs 193.1 season), a late-season decline in per-touch efficiency.

INJURY RISK Medium?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025 game log

ATL 2026 schedule — bye week 11

17 GAMES · SEASON STARTS SEPT
W1
@PIT
W2
CAR
W3
@GB
W4
@NO
W5
BAL
W6
CHI
W7
SF
W8
@TB
W9
CIN
W10
KC
W11
BYE
W12
@MIN
W13
DET
W14
@CLE
W15
@WSH
W16
TB
W17
NO
W18
@CAR
Plan around the week-11 bye when pairing Tagovailoa with other QBs on your roster.

Tua Tagovailoa consistency and floor

14 GAMES
4.7
Floor (p10)
11.5
Average
22.7
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered57%
Boom rate125%+ of average36%
Bust rateunder half of average21%
11.5
Season avg FPTS
10.8
Last 10 FPTS
9.5
Last 5 FPTS

Tagovailoa vs other quarterbacks

PERCENTILE · 54 RANKED
Pass yards2,66061
Pass TD2067
Rush yards4320
Fantasy PPG11.530
Percentile among all ranked NFL quarterbacks · 99 = best

Tagovailoa fantasy points, last 14 games

2025 · BOOM · BUST
30150AVG 11.55.3W118.6W212.8W315.7W422.7W56.6W6-1.4W724.2W88.5W910.8W106.8W114.7W139.1W1416.2W15
SEASON HIGH 24.2SEASON LOW -1.4LAST 5 AVG 9.5

Tua Tagovailoa game log — 2025

BOOM · BUST
WKOPPRESULTPASS YDSPASS TDINTRUSH YDSRUSH TDFPTS
15@PITL 28-15253211016.2
14@NYJW 34-1012710009.1
13NOW 21-1715701404.7
11WSHW 16-13 OT17100006.8
10BUFW 30-1317322-1010.8
9BALL 28-626101108.5
8@ATLW 34-10205400024.2
7@CLEL 31-61000360-1.4
6LACL 29-2720513406.6
5@CARL 27-24256305022.7
4NYJW 27-21177206015.7
3@BUFL 31-211462110012.8
2NEL 33-27315210018.6
1@INDL 33-811412705.3
QIs Tua Tagovailoa a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #103 overall, #26 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Tua Tagovailoa be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 170.7 (roughly round 15 in a 12-team league). We rank him #255 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Tua Tagovailoa score in 2026?

We project 11.2 PPR points per game across an expected 15 games — approximately 168 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 6.6 and 16.2 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #108 in projected scoring (#255 on the 1QB draft board once positional value is applied).

QHow consistent is Tua Tagovailoa for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 57% of games, with a floor of 4.7 and a ceiling of 22.7 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 36% of games and busted (under half his average) in 21%.

Answers computed by TurfSplit from official box scores.